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Showing posts with label Wide Receivers. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Wide Receivers. Show all posts

Friday, May 29, 2009

Fantasy Rookies 2009: The Wide Receivers (Part Two)

Welcome to part two of my look at the rookie wide receiver draft class and it's potential impact on your fantasy team.

Today we look at some players who are shakier than the first group but may have just as much long-term potential.

A few could even produce this year.

Kenny Britt, TEN
Britt is a guy with a nice combination of ability and opportunity. Britt joins a decent but no-exactly Pro Bowl group with oft-hurt Justin Gage and inconsistent vertical threat Nate Washington. With his good hands and physical play, he should be able to carve out a niche in the offense and could become a possession receiver who is Kerry Collins’ best friend next season. However, it’s not like Collins throws 100 times a game so how much productivity will he have? Britt is a fringe guy for the top 5 rookies and if he has a good camp, might be worth a late flier in a redraft. I think Dynasty-wise he’s worth a look in the first few rounds (not first though).

Brian Robiskie, CLE
Robiskie is in an interesting situation and so far has impressed in camp. Tony Grossi from the Cleveland Plains Dealer says his two TD catches from Brady Quinn in red-zone drills along with the as-advertised crisp routes and overall polish make him an early leader for a #2 spot. There is a glut of other WRs there (including fellow rookie Mohamed Massaquoi), we don’t know who will be QB (though Quinn is looking good) and what impact Braylon Edwards has are all unanswered right now. Robiskie (and perhaps Massaquoi) could emerge during the season as a nice WR3 or 4. I would be careful in redraft but in Dynasty, Robiskie looks like a good bet to succeed down the road. Hopefully this will clear up a bit during training camp.

Mike Thomas, Jarrett Dillard, JAX
There isn’t much to prevent either of these two guys from breaking out other than Tory Holt and the bad history of wide receiver drafting in Jacksonville. However, Holt is a great person to mentor these guys and there is a lot to like about Dillard and Thomas both which might have been lacking in previous picks. Both rookies are already huge presences at the team facilities and are getting accolades from coach Jack Del Rio. Dillard was a great leader at Rice who, while a bit undersized, can leap to make grabs and plays bigger than he is. Thomas is also a little smaller than you’d like in a WR, but is a tough guy across the middle, has some speed and was very productive at Arizona. Both of these guys have upside, I expect the OLine and overall offense should be snappier and Holt isn’t a long term solution. Watch these guys and see which seems to emerge in August as a potential late round Wr or a dynasty pick who could be productive by the end of the year.

Juaquin Iglesias & Johnny Knox, CHI
With Jay Cutler coming to town you have to take a hard look at the wide receiver corps. There are a bunch of guys they will compete with – Hester, Bennett, Davies – but none have captured the first spot and run away with it. Hester (allegedly) is looking better than ever. But even the #2 slot on this team could be huge with Cutler throwing the ball. Iglesias is a tough, with good body control and a willingness to go across the middle. If he can become a reliable target, he could see a lot of work thrown his way though he might fight from looks with tight end Greg Olson. Knox is a vertical threat and he’ll see more competition from Hester. I’m still not sold on Hester and think there is room for Knox to move in, but it can be a risk. I would avoid either one in a redraft but either one could be a decent lat pick in a rookie draft.

Brandon Tate, WR
Tate is an intriguing guy – he has talent but he’s coming off of an injury which was pretty bad. Testing positive for drugs at the Combine doesn’t speak well of his smarts either. Even if Tate comes back and keeps clean, he’s a few years away from impacting the lineup. Undraftable in redraft and not worth anything more than a late spot on most Dynasty rosters as well.

Other guys I like:
Ramses Barden, NYG – Barden has to beat out Nicks and learn to use his body better but I’m a well known Barden Booster and I think he will emerge as a player in a year or two. He was prolific at the college level, even though he played against lesser quality opponents. He's a hard worker and while there are a bunch of wide receivers to vie with for time, I think he has what it takes to succeed.

Patrick Turner, MIA – There aren’t a ton of world beaters in Miami and Turner has a shot to compete for a starting spot. He’s not a speed demon, doesn’t get much separation and isn’t a deep threat. He’s an aggressive player – and tough – so he could carve out a red zone/short yardage niche in the offensive scheme.

Derrick Williams, DET – A guy who is not likely to explode for several years but might match up nicely with Calvin Johnson down the road. He has the speed to be so – but he was never terribly productive at Penn State so his ceiling is a big question mark.

Thursday, May 21, 2009

Fantasy Rookies 2009: The Wide Receivers (pt 1)

Welcome to the next installment in our look at the incoming NFL rookies and their impact in you upcoming fantasy season.

Today we look at part one of the wide receivers - which we began to look at on last night's Thundering Blurb Show on BlogTalkRadio.com. As is the case with everything this early, there are varying degrees of reaction to the rankings and breakdowns.

Last night I certainly heard some disagreement from the callers on the last few guys we spoke about. That's the point as far as I'm concerned, so feel free to join in below in the comments.

First of all, while I think there are more rookie wide receivers who could impact your fantasy season right now than any other position, receivers have a high bust rate and even when they succeed, it can take a long time.

Keeping that in mind - here is part one of the rookie wide receiver breakdown.

Michael Crabtree, SF
The 49ers had to be thanking their lucky stars that Crabtree fell to them, right?

It all depends upon how much stock you put in the character concerns surrounding Crabtree just before the Draft. Still, even if he has an attitude problem, head coach Mike Singletary has experience dealing with that.

So that issue aside, let’s talk about his skills. Simply put, the man makes plays.

He has phenomenal ball skills, makes amazing catches with his leaping ability and works very hard. Sure, he’s not winning any wind sprints. But he can ball.

Two big questions: 1) How will his foot heal and will it affect his play this season? And 2) The 49ers are loaded with talent at wide receiver. Where will he fit in 2009?

In my opinion, the answer to the first is that it probably will be ok and not affect his overall ability. To be honest, I’m no doctor, and I didn’t stay at a Holiday Inn Express last night, so this is about as arm-chair QB as you can get.

But the whole reason he skipped Pro Days and workouts was to get surgery to heal the foot. If he rehabs well – and as I said, the dude is known as a hard worker – then the foot won’t be a huge factor in his game.

It may factor in his playing time though. Like it or not, he won’t be on the field until late this summer. That is time lost. We know Isaac Bruce can play. We’re pretty sure Josh Morgan can play. Brandon Jones was brought over from the Titans because he can play.

OK, Jason Hill and Arnaz Battle aren’t that big a factor, but still – that’s quite a few wide receivers.

Morgan has the biggest impact, as they play the same spot on the field – the ‘X’ or split end position. There is every chance that because Crabtree may miss the bulk of mini camps, OTAs and maybe even a little Training Camp, that Morgan could start the season there and Crabtree could be eased in.

Down the road, I think Crabtree will take over. But Morgan already looks good in mini-camps and OTA’s and Crabtree will be playing catchup. Rookie wide receivers always have lots to catch up about.

Dynasty
Likely a top five pick in most leagues, depending on need and scoring. But keep in mind that wide receivers have a high bust rate – a huge factor in no wide receivers going in round one of the 2008 NFL Draft. Also, keep in mind that we have no idea who will be throwing the rock this year or next.

Still, those questions (and the few I listed earlier) aside – you’re looking at the top WR in a Fantasy Dynasty draft. I may not take him first overall, but he should be gone no later than 5.

Redraft
You know that high bust ratio I just mentioned? It makes drafting rookie wide receivers even riskier in redraft. We know Crabtree will get his shot but when and how often? I think he’ll make it on the field at some point, but I’d be cautious how much I needed him as a fantasy wide receiver, especially early in the season.

That makes him about as valuable as kick return/WRs and part timers. But when comparing Crabtree to, say, Kevin Walter – you have to determine upside. And it’s my opinion Crabtree will carry more upside than a #3/Kick returner.

So while I am looking to pick him up somewhere in the eighth or ninth round, and around WR35-40, I’d take him before guys like Walter, an aging guy like Tory Holt or an unproven guy like Devin Hester.

Jeremy Maclin, PHI
Most people will have Hakeem Nicks here, but I like Maclin more. Yes the Giants lack a #1. Yes, DeSean Jackson is a stud.

Still, I think Maclin is in a very good situation. Kevin Curtis won’t be a big threat as he will be more of a situational player. And Jackson will benefit from Maclin as well as Maclin will from him.

He does need to polish his route running and sometimes loses concentration, but I think his speed and overall ability to catch the ball totally outweighs those concerns.

The biggest problem is how he fits into this offense. As I said, I don’t think Curtis keeps him benched, provided he has a good camp. If that happens – and I believe it will – they will have to throw him the ball to keep defenses off both Jackson and Westbrook.

All draft season I was told ‘Andy Reid doesn’t draft offense in round 1’. He did – which means he intends to use him. And if he does Maclin could have a solid year.

Dynasty
In my mind, Maclin is a top ten rookie pick in nearly any rookie draft. He may not pay off immediately and I don’t expect numbers like Jackson had last season, but the presence of DeSean will help him by room to make plays and he can do that for sure. He could lag a bit in picking up the game – rookie WRS often do – but he will look very nice next year then, if that’s the case.

Redraft
Don’t get too fooled by DeSean Jackson’s 2008 numbers. I love Maclin – even for this year – but last year’s numbers will be hard to match. He’s more of an upside pick but is one of three guys I think have an excellent chance to provide some points for you and will be invaluable during bye weeks or in deep leagues.

Hakeem Nicks, NYG
Many are predicting instant (or nearly instant) success for the talented junior out of North Carolina. And given the situation he landed in – Toomer gone, Burress a victim of himself – you have to think he’ll get a shot.

Nicks is an outstanding route runner who can make amazing and tough catches consistently. He’s very competitive and will fight for the ball and has no fear going across the middle.

He does have some question marks in his game. He’s not terribly quick and doesn’t get much separation. Nicks can also be a bit inconsistent in his efforts and isn’t all that helpful as a blocker.

Now, there have been some outstanding WRs who haven’t gotten separation. Guys who make their bones being a hard-ass WR who makes plays. And you can learn to block.

But given that there are a grip of other wide receivers – Domenik Hixon, Steve Smith, Mario Manningham and his fellow 2009 rookie Ramses Barden (a Blurb favorite) – so he’s no lock to start beyond a #3 and it Barden has a better camp….

I think Steve Smith and Barden are threats more than Hixon or Manningham. Hixon seemed to fade after a big Super Bowl and when he should have stepped up he didn’t. And I’m not a big believer in Manningham. Barden has to learn to use his body better and that’s one thing Hicks does better.

It’s his edge – can he keep it? I’m not sure I am sold.

Dynasty
Hicks is a guy I seem to love less than a lot of analysts. Still, he’s in a position to succeed if he applies himself and warrants a look in your rookie draft’s first round. I think he has a little bit less distance to go than Barden, so I give him the edge.

But be prepared to sit him most of the year. If you are ok with that, he should produce within a year or so and has the upside to be very good. But if Barden starts using his huge body the way he can – it might be a fight.

Redraft
You’d probably pick him up around the time you’ll pick up NFL #3s and fellow rookies like Heyward-Bey and – depending upon how risk averse you might be – Percy Harvin. Nicks COULD produce, but the glut of WRs around him have me worried right now.

Hicks is one of the WRs who could move up my draft board though, with continued good news out of OTAs and Training Camp. Right now though, not sold enough to risk more than a #3 or 4 spot for my lineup.

Percy Harvin, MIN
Harvin has already had his share of trouble with some concerns over character and drug use – and raised eyebrows when he missed mini camp due to dehydration. When rumor has it you biffed a drug test you knew you would take at the Combine…

Well - let’s just say ‘red flag’.

Despite that, he is expected to be at OTAs and Sidney Rice himself says he expects to have to battle Harvin to for the starting flanker or ‘Z’ position at wide receiver.

The fact that Rice is coming off a knee injury which contributed to a lackluster year (one we expected him to break out in) gives Harvin a leg up – so to speak – but by no means do I count Rice out.

In reality both WRs bring different skills to the table – Rice can make big leaping catches and use his body against opposing secondary while Harvin can both get separation to be a vertical threat as well as work the middle.

Fact is, while Rice’s knee contributed to his lackluster 2008, the clock is ticking and if Harvin can keep his head on straight, he can duplicate some of what Rice can.

Aside from the worries about Harvin's attitude, I don't have a ton of worries. As I said on the podcast, all these guys have question marks. Some - Crabtree and Maclin - have talent which makes those questions not as big.

But most of the rest don't quite fall in that category so they should shuffle all summer long. Harvin has a ton of talent and I think he'll overcome his penchant for bad decisions at least enough to stay on the field.

Beyond anything else, they will get him involved. If he doesn't beat out Rice, they'll put him in the slot or occasionally split him out wide - whatever it takes to utilize his abilities.

Also - this ranking could change radically if His Royal Favreness becomes a Viking. I can't say if I think that is bad or good yet, but it could change the landscape.

Dynasty
Harvin is a guy who certainly has some risk but also a tremendous amount of ability. Like the Vikings, you're banking on the fact that he can overcome his penchant for bad decisions to fully reveal his ability, which is great. He may not vault to superstar status immediately but I think he will emerge down the road as a solid wide receiver - perhaps more than that - for your Dynasty squad.

Redraft
Harvin is also a risky pick for a redraft owner but could end up being productive. As always, minimize your risk. And consider that since most redraft leagues don't draft until late summer, you are in a good position to see where Harvin stands and pick accordingly. If you had to pick him right now, I would wait quite a long time, and he wouldn't be any higher than mid to late WR 50.

Darrius Heyward-Bey, OAK
Ok, let's forget for a moment the ridiculousness of the pick by the Raiders. DHB was still a guy we all felt was a receiver who could be a first round pick.

He's got his faults. At Maryland, he had big problems with drops and he rarely if ever played against press coverage. He wasn't productive, but you can blame that on an offense that never used him to his full capabilities.

DHB also lacks special teams experiance, though that was always more of a factor for me in terms of the actual draft versus fantasy purposes.

I would be positive Heyward-Bey could improve his overall game if it wasn't for one thing - that would be the play of JaMarcus Russell.

Now I'm not calling Russell a bust. I will, however, point out that he is already struggling in OTAs. According to Jerry McDonald - beat writer for the Oakland Tribune - Russell's performance as recently as Wednesday (5/21) was 'awful'.

Head Coach Tom Cable says the problem with Russell is his unfamiliarity with the new offense. But a guy who can throw 70 yards from his knees should be much better in an offense which goes vertical like this one should while in shorts and with no hitting.

So while Russell is no bust, he's starting to list that way and if he struggles, what does that mean for DHB? And before we cry for Garcia, he's not going to allow Heyward-Bey to stretch the field the way Russell should.

Dynasty

Heyward-Bey could develop into a very good receiver or at worst, a Nate Washington type who can stretch the field often, if not be incredibly productive. In my mind, I have big concerns that are not really stemming from his potential. One I mentioned - Russell and his development or lack thereof. Second though, is the organization itself. The Raiders are a mess - is this a place that will be able to develop a wide receiver successfully?

As that is the case, he probably slips down into the second round of a rookie draft for me. He's got some very good upside - but I am unsure he will realize it for some time.

Redraft

With the disarray of the wide receiver corps in Oakland, who is in his way? Chaz Schilens? Javon Walker? If Russell can get his game on - or even if Garcia is a reasonable replacement - DHB could become a decent producer of fantasy points.

But - and this is a large but - this is not an offense I think is primed for big things. So sure, he could be the best wide receiver (2nd best receiver overall next to Zach Miller) on the Raiders - but that might be like re-arranging the deck chairs on the Titanic.

So that's it for this edition of the Wide Reciever Breakdown. Next week I will have the rest of the bunch - and I think there are several guys who have a great deal of value especially in Dynasty leagues.

If there is someone you really want me to cover, throw it in the comments or email me at thunderingblurb@gmail.com and I will tackle them.

Not literally.

Friday, April 24, 2009

NFL Draft: Positional Class Grades

Each season a new crop of college athletes take part in the NFL Draft Process, and every year what the overall strengths and depths of the class are will change as often as the needs of the teams doing the drafting.

This year is no exception.

In 2008, we saw a class with good overall running back talent, quicker than anticipated impact at the quarterback position and great depth at the defensive spots.

The 2009 class has its own set of advantages and strong spots, but also more than a few positions of questionable depth and talent.

When the layman looks at the Draft, they think in terms of the ‘sexy positions’. The quarterback, the running back, the high profile names on the offense. It’s where many new draftnicks and casual observers get caught up.

But once you’ve spent any time listening to any analyst or scout worth his salt, it turns out that’s not always where the value is in any given year.

This year is no different and while there is some value and depth in those skill positions, once again the most value appears to be in the trenches and on the defensive side of the ball.

Let’s take a look at the overall talent in the NFL Draft class of 2009.



Position - Quarterback
High Side - Matthew Stafford, Mark Sanchez
Low Side - Curtis Painter, Graham Harrell
Overall Grade - C+
Explanation - While I am a big fan of Stafford and Sanchez, I don’t know either would have cracked the top of last year’s class. Still, both athletes have the tools to be worthy of a top pick in 2009. Stafford solidified a high pick slot with an outstanding Pro Day showcasing his accuracy and arm strength while Sanchez will have an opportunity to prove his doubters wrong by showing off his own accuracy and allaying injury concerns on April 1st at USC’s workout. In his own tier behind them is Kansas State quarterback Josh Freeman. I’ll be honest – any other year and Freeman isn’t going in round one. His accuracy issues, streaky nature and occasional lapses in decision making worry me. Still, after Sanchez and Stafford, Freeman is the guy you want, though he’ll take more time to develop than the first two. After that – it’s personal choice. Every quarterback behind them is a big question mark and a project, so it becomes about who teams fall in love with. One team might love Pat White’s versatility, while another may love Sam Houston State QB Rhett Bomar’s huge arm and intangibles. Or a team may wait a bit and snag any number of high upside, long term projects like Fresno State’s Tom Brandstater (good short touch vs shaky deep throws), Alabama’s John Parker Wilson (great intangibles vs lack of size and arm strength) or recently hot prospect Mike Reilly from Central Washington (good short accuracy and touch vs spread offense worries). My choice for dark horse? Rudy Carpenter, Arizona State. Tough, determined and with good accuracy on the West Coast-Style slants and short passes, Carpenter played behind an atrocious offensive line, with no run game and still managed to put up very good numbers. Sure thing? Not at all. But in the right scheme? Could be very successful. But he’s indicative of the class – all upside, all projects. Few sure things. Here is where I think a smart team can make a big future impact with a pick that’s low risk, but potentially high reward. One of these guys in the right system and with patience could turn out to be another Matt Cassel - assuming people remember the patience it took over almost four years to develop him.


Position - Runningback
High Side - Knowshon Moreno, Chris Wells, LeSean McCoy
Low Side - Ian Johnson, Marlon Lucky
Overall Grade - B
Explanation - These backs don’t have the marquee value of a Peterson or a McFadden but that doesn’t mean there aren’t any solid backs here. Knowshon Moreno has great instincts and is a big, tough runner with good hands. Chris Wells is a strong runner with good burst, but injury and durability worries. UCONN running back Donald Brown is quick to the hole and had very good vision and can catch the ball well out of the backfield. Behind the big three are a ton of solid, though perhaps unspectacular running backs. It’s not to say that a guy like Pitt’s LeSean McCoy, Liberty’s Rashad Jennings or Andre Brown from North Carolina can’t have a very good and very productive careers. But none of these backs hold the excitement that the top of the line studs usually do. The class has some depth, players with defined roles versus the projects that litter the quarterback class. A guy like Jeremiah Johnson out of Oregon would make an outstanding change of pace back. While he doesn’t have elite speed and has never been a workhorse, he’s shown ability, can play in special teams and has shown good vision and patience. He may never become the bell cow, but he also shouldn’t take three years to develop into a solid player. Or a team can grab a guy like Marlon Lucky from Nebraska, a runner who has a good combination of size and speed, who can run for tough yards but doesn’t have the ability to be an every down back. He can certainly fill in – and quickly – on special teams as well as be the type of back to grind yardage out and get the hard yards. Though he will never be a home run hitter, Lucky could be another guy who can be picked late and yet still contributes early in his career. The running back class is filled with these solid, though perhaps unspectacular, backs. Because of this, a team can lay in the weeds and fill other positions of need, yet still have a shot at a quality back who can contribute in a specific role pretty quickly. While the ceiling isn’t extraordinarily high, the floor for many of these guys is pretty good.


Position - Fullback
High Side - Tony Fiametta
Low Side - Brannon Southerland
Overall Grade - C-
Explanation - Like with centers and kickers, top shelf fullbacks are few and far between and that’s why guys like Tony Richardson get the dollars he does blocking for backs like LT and Adrian Peterson. You aren’t likely to see any fullbacks go on day one, and maybe just a handful will be drafted over all. In the last nine drafts, the top fullback has been selected in the fourth round four times and the fifth round three times. The top fullback has only been pulled in the third round twice including last year when Jacob Hester went to the Chargers. And while he was the top fullback in the 2008 draft he was also the type of guy San Diego looked at as a potential full time running back. Again, it’s rare for a full blown fullback to go early. While a blocking fullback is worth his weight in gold, it’s easier to convert a running back or sign a fullback off the street. So even the top guys like Syracuse’s Tony Fiametta will be unlikely to go earlier than the middle rounds. This is not to say Fiametta isn’t a capable player. The former Orangeman is a fantastic blocker who works hard and has the versatility coaches love which allows him to block for other backs, catch the ball out of the backfield or even work special teams. It’s that flexibility which will attract teams and players like Fiametta. But many other guys have too many question marks. Georgia’s Brannan Southerland has some real conerns about his ability to stay healthy, Eric Kettani needs to fulfill his Naval service before he can play and lack experience in receiving and special teams so is limited while Jason Cook from Ole Miss is basically a blocker – and that’s all. Once you get past the top one or two players, a team might as well wait and sign these guys after the draft or look for a late round running back, see if they can develop him as a regular RB and if not, move him to fullback. Less fullbacks are being used in College football, and Pro teams are using tight ends and other players to block when necessary. As a result, this class which is thin on depth will likely see few players taken on draft weekend and perhaps even during the rookie free agency signing period.

Position - Wide Receiver
High Side - Michael Crabtree, Jeremy Maclin
Low Side - Sammie Stroughter, Tiquan Underwood
Overall Grade - B+
Explanation - A huge step up from last year and we should see a bunch of receivers pulled in the first round and over the course of the first day. There are some projects, but there are also plenty of very solid top prospects here. You can start with the names we’ve all become familiar with over the last few months. Michael Crabtree with his phenomenal size, body control, reach and outstanding ball skills. Fluid and elusive Jeremy Maclin with his ability to stretch the field and vertical ability. Darrius Heyward-Bey, Kenny Britt, Percy Harvin. All are names you’ve heard about endlessly. But this class differs from the 2008 bunch in more than just the top end players. This class has a full compliment of depth, guys who will be effective early in their career and could have long-term impact. Some, like OSU wideout Brian Robiskie seemingly emerged out of nowhere, lighting up the NFL Scouting Combine with an outstanding 40 and showing more athleticism than expected. He continued to impress at his Pro Day and is poised to get picked somewhere in the second or third rounds. Robiskie’s route running and instincts make him a player who could be ready to contribute immediately and while he may not be the next Calvin Johnson or Randy Moss, he’s a solid player and could be so for a long time to come. Slipping down a few spots to Ramses Barden, from Cal Poly. Barden has the size and strength to dominate defenders, he just needs to use it a little more confidently. And he can get yards after the catch. A little more of a project, but he can still develop into a good wide receiver and an excellent guy to move the chains or red zone target. Other guys who provide the depth on this squad are Washington State’s Brandon Gibson (experience, great hands, good routes, so-so speed, not enough separation), USC’s Patrick Turner off a great Pro Day (great routes, hands and tough attitude but not a great blocker or much of a deep threat), Quon Cosby out of Texas (athletic, quick, great ball skills, but a little older and limited separation) and Dominique Edison from Stephen F. Austin (decent speed, great hands and a good vertical threat, but not too physical nor sudden off the line) all will go second day and could carve out roles as at least #3 receivers. Even guys like the players at the bottom of my list, like Oregon State’s Sammie Stroughter and Rutgers’ Tiquan Underwood could contribute, though it might take a little longer.

Position - Tight End
High Side - Brandon Pettigrew, Jared Cook
Low Side - Ryan Purvis, Bear Pascoe
Overall Grade - B-
Explanation - There are at least 5 TEs in this class that could be impact players at the next level, but not much depth and overall it won’t dominate the draft. You may never be able to have too many wide receivers or running backs, but you don’t need that many tight ends. Also, the position plays a little different now. You want a tight end who can block AND catch, not one but able to learn the other. Pettigrew is the class of the positional group, he can run, he can block, he can catch – and he’s a tough SOB. The guys behind him are all very athletic – Jared Cook (great speed and quicks, great hands, but little blocking ability), Cornelius Ingram (great ball skills, soft hands, can go vertical, but not tough, inexperienced) and Travis Beckum (great speed, good routes, elusiveness after the catch but not bulky enough, not physical enough and there are durability issues) – but have some question marks. Still, they have the offensive skills to play for some time. The low end like Bear Pascoe (great blocker but very stiff and not fast) and Ryan Purvis (good hands, willing blocker but not fast or explosive) seem to be the flipside – blockers who might develop into full tight ends. The fact you could get production from the late rounds with guys this deep into the class is what makes this class just a bit better than average.


Position - Offensive Tackle
High Side - Jason Smith, Eugene Monroe, Andre Smith
Low Side - Garrett Reynolds, Joel Bell
Overall Grade - B+
Explanation - Once again a great crop of OTs and we could see another run on the position in the first round. The game is won in the trenches and there are a lot of fine tackles in the 2009 class, even if it isn’t quite as deep as the 2008 group. Jason Smith, Monroe, Andre Smith and Oher will be gone in the top 15 in all likelihood and you could see guys like Eben Britton out of Arizona and recently hot Phil Loadholt from Oklahoma who could sneak into the first as well. There are other good tackles behind these guys but they could go anywhere from late second to beginning of the third, guys like William Beatty (UCONN), Troy Kropog (Tulane) or Jamon Meredith (South Carolina). All have something they need to work on be it a lack of prototypical size, mobility or a lack pf perfection either in the run or pass portion of the game. But all of them will be productive. As you go further away, the projects grow more shaky but there are so many who could slip in or will get picked up immediately as a street free agent, if a team misses out on one guy, they have the possibility of grabbing a project late and spending less money, yet still seeing production.

Position - Guard
High Side - Duke Robinson, Andy Levitre
Low Side - Ryan Durand, Travis Bright
Overall Grade - B-
Explanation - A decent group, but not a ton of depth. You’ll see them go starting in the second, but there aren’t more than a dozen guys who are good bets to go. A bunch of guards will go as rookie free agents, but not much excitement. Most interesting thing I have seen is the contradicting evaluations of Greg Isdaner of West Virginia. Some rankings have him as the second or third guard. But some don’t even have him going on Draft weekend. The top of the class are definitely Oklahoma’s Duke Robinson and Oregon State’s Andy Levitre. But while maybe one slips into the first, guards don’t go early. Overall it’s a decent class but there are not a ton of guards who will go on draft day, especially when some tackles can move over to guard if they don’t work out.

Position - Center
High Side - Alex Mack, Max Unger, Eric Wood
Low Side - Cecil Newton, Dallas Reynolds
Overall Grade - C
Explanation - Top flight Centers are tough to come by, which is why Jeff Saturday just got re-signed by the Colts. You don’t let one go. This class is ok at the top, but there is a significant drop-off after that and if we hit double digits drafted, I’d be surprised. But the top of the class is pretty good. Cal’s Mack is whip-smart and incredibly flexible in what he can play – center, guard, what have you – he not only can do many things, he’s willing to. I have seen him slip a bit in some mocks, with Wood jumping in as the center taken in the first round. The Louisville center isn’t the most powerful guy and finds himself pushed around a little too much for me. But again, a smart guy who is a hard worker.

Saturday, December 27, 2008

WR Rankings for week 17

Here are the WRs - RBs in a little while.

Wide Receiver
  1. Steve Smith (CAR)
  2. Andre Johnson
  3. Marques Colston
  4. Roddy White
  5. Larry Fitzgerald
  6. Calvin Johnson
  7. Reggie Wayne
  8. Vincent Jackson
  9. Greg Jennings
  10. Brandon Marshall
  11. Derrick Mason
  12. Randy Moss
  13. T.J. Houshmandzadeh
  14. DeSean Jackson
  15. Antonio Bryant
  16. Terrell Owens
  17. Wes Welker
  18. Eddie Royal
  19. Hines Ward
  20. Santana Moss
  21. Jerricho Cotchery
  22. Torry Holt
  23. Domenik Hixon
  24. Donald Driver
  25. Santonio Holmes
  26. Dwayne Bowe
  27. Anquan Boldin
  28. Lee Evans
  29. Bernard Berrian
  30. Kevin Walter
  31. Muhsin Muhammad
  32. Anthony Gonzalez
  33. Braylon Edwards
  34. Isaac Bruce
  35. Laveranues Coles
  36. Mark Clayton
  37. Dennis Northcutt
  38. Donnie Avery
  39. Davone Bess
  40. Deion Branch
  41. Devin Hester
  42. Steve Breaston
  43. Bobby Engram
  44. Justin Gage
  45. Bryant Johnson

Friday, December 19, 2008

WR Rankings for Week 16

With the huge weekend, I expanded my last week of rankings (unless there is a huge outcry) so we're covered no matter what! So without further ado -

Steve Smith peaked at just the right time, huh? He's topped 100+ yards for 4 straight weeks and has scored in the last two games as well. He's on fire and even against tough defense like NY, he's a lock to your lineup. Delhomme may be on his way out, but he's finding Smith early and often (49 times in his last five games) and Smith is having success against even difficult matchups. Get him in and keep him in.

Megatron or Calvin Johnson as he is known as by some, can do a lot with a little. But last week he had a deluge of targets (16, 9 of which he caught) has scored 4 TDs over the last five games, with no less than 60 yards each game. The Saints are ranked 26th vs the pass although they have played better the last few weeks. Still Johnson should do well even with a meager amount of targets - and I think Orlovsky will continue to try and force him the ball and he'll get his chance again to have another big game.

Andre Johnson should continue to benefit from Matt Schaub's current hot streak. Johnson himself has been a tad streaky, but while he won't mount another 200+ yard game he should put up some great numbers nonetheless. Johnson thinks Nnamdi Asomugha will shadow him but Oakland doesn't usually do that. Still, even if it happens, Johnson is good enough to find room to move and catch plenty of balls as well.

Here we are again speaking of Greg Jennings who is STILL a guy that I never see/hear anyone talking about him. Maybe that's why I always feel like he's pretty underrated. As I think Rodgers is going to have a big day, you know Jennings will be his favorite target as always. He's automatic and been very stable as a fantasy WR and will be so again here in the Fantasy Championship.

While I do fully expect Michael Turner to be getting a ton of carries, Atlanta will need to pass on occasion to keep the defense honest. And Matt Ryan always looks for his top option, Roddy White. White should have no problem finding room to function against the 22nd ranked pass defense, though while they do not get too many interceptions, they also don't tend to allow many TDs (just 13 in 15 games). I do believe you'll see White in the end zone once though and he is sure to get good yards for you as well.

Wide Receivers
  1. Steve Smith, Panthers at Giants
  2. Calvin Johnson, Lions vs. Saints
  3. Andre Johnson, Texans at Raiders
  4. Greg Jennings, Packers at Bears
  5. Roddy White, Falcons at Vikings
  6. Larry Fitzgerald, Cardinals at Patriots
  7. Antonio Bryant, Buccaneers vs. Chargers
  8. Marques Colston, Saints at Lions
  9. Dwayne Bowe, Chiefs vs. Dolphins
  10. Vincent Jackson, Chargers at Buccaneers
  11. Brandon Marshall, Broncos vs. Bills
  12. Randy Moss, Patriots vs. Cardinals
  13. Wes Welker, Patriots vs. Cardinals
  14. Isaac Bruce, 49ers at Rams
  15. Lance Moore, Saints at Lions
  16. Braylon Edwards, Browns vs. Bengals
  17. Hines Ward, Steelers at Titans
  18. Lee Evans, Bills at Broncos
  19. Terrell Owens, Cowboys vs. Ravens
  20. Davone Bess, Dolphins at Chiefs
  21. Donald Driver, Packers at Bears
  22. Santana Moss, Redskins vs. Eagles
  23. Kevin Walter, Texans at Raiders
  24. Jerricho Cotchery, Jets at Seahawks
  25. T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Bengals at Browns
  26. DeSean Jackson, Eagles at Redskins
  27. Derrick Mason, Ravens at Cowboys
  28. Eddie Royal, Broncos vs. Bills
  29. Michael Jenkins, Falcons at Vikings
  30. Bernard Berrian, Vikings vs. Falcons
  31. Domenik Hixon, Giants vs. Panthers
  32. Santonio Holmes, Steelers at Titans
  33. Steve Breaston, Cardinals at Patriots
  34. Chad Johnson, Bengals at Browns
  35. Devin Hester, Bears vs. Packers
  36. Nate Washington, Steelers at Titans
  37. Steve Smith, Giants vs. Panthers
  38. Muhsin Muhammad, Panthers at Giants
  39. Deion Branch, Seahawks vs. Jets
  40. Donnie Avery, Rams vs. 49ers
  41. Torry Holt, Rams vs. 49ers
  42. Laveranues Coles, Jets at Seahawks
  43. Bryant Johnson, 49ers at Rams
  44. Bobby Wade Vikings at Falcons
  45. Amani Toomer Giants vs Panthers

Tuesday, December 16, 2008

Top WR Performances for Week 15

Andre Johnson 11/207/1 - Johnson continues to combine yards and TDs. The last three games have been a successful combo of both and while it's not an easy matchup against Oakland's secondary, clearly they can be beat. Johnson is a must start even if 200+ yards is a rare thing, he's on a roll and you should ride him to a win.


Steve Smith 9/174/1 - Smith is another one who is playing very well right now. He's amassed 100+ yards in four straight games and a TD in each of the last two. He faces a tough matchup in the Giants defense, but like Andre Johnson, you have to be playing him each week. He's too hot not too and has peaked at just the right time.


Calvin Johnson 9/110/1 - 1 fumble - Aside from a bad fumble, Megatron finally got both the targets AND the yards. He's had two games in a row with a TD as well. New Orleans' secondary can be beat and let's face it - in this gunfight, the Saints should come out blazing. It's hard to believe they'll get him that many catches again, but Johnson has been stellar all season long, with only a few true clunkers to his name. He's a guy who is too good to be contained by the defense in most games. And he's too good to to keep out of your fantasy lineup no matter what he faces.


Antonio Bryant 8/108/1- Here he is again. Antonio FREAKING Bryant. I can say that with venom as he escorted me out of one set of playoffs last week. That aside he is hot right now and you should have him playing each week. Is he a bona fide WR1? Probably not - but two straight 100+ yard games and three straight with at least 1 TD? He's hot enough for at a #2 spot. And with confidence no less. Whoda thunk it after the relatively unspectacular season?


Dennis Northcutt 5/136/1 - Is Northcutt the new 'go-to guy' in Jacksonville with Matt Jones finally on time out? Well with Mike Walker pretty much a no show, Jerry Porter on IR and Reggie Williams the other option, he probably is. I can't feel good about recommending him as anything but a WR3 or 4 but he may be the type of late year player worth having in the lineup. But careful - Indy is ranked seventh against the pass with only 5 TDs allowed.

Randy Moss 5/136/1 - A pretty darn good game that normally would have had him near the top of this list - he's essentially tied for 5 on it anyway and I'd recommend him over Northcutt in a heartbeat - but you were already playing him each week right?


Best of the rest -

Hines Ward 8/107 - Ward has been spotty all season long and now is facing a pretty good Titans defense. He should get a lot of short work but don't expect a big game.

Vincent Jackson 6/97/1 - 1 fumble - Another solid game from a guy normally relegated to WR3 or 4 status who probably should be a #2 on many teams by now. Had a rough patch a few weeks back, but seems to have passed it.

Marques Colston 6/84/1 - Still not consistent but should be in the lineup most weeks. While Pierre Thomas may go buck wild on the toothless Lions, Brees is Brees and will throw the ball. I would start Colston as aWR3 or 2 with confidence. However I reserve the right to change my mind as we close on the weekend.

Reggie Wayne 7/104 - Should have another good game against JAX on Thursday. Yes he's been 'meh' this season. But he'll end strong for you in the Championships.


Friday, December 12, 2008

WR Rankings for Week 15

Larry Fitzgerald has really come on for the last few weeks - Anquan Boldin will not continue to struggle but Fitzgerald has been THE MAN for the Cardinals the last few weeks and rock solid for the whole season. He should see a lot of work since the best way to beat the Vikings is through the air. And of the dynamic duo, Fitz is the hotter and I think he will get a ton of work from Warner.

It took a while to happen but Steve Smith finally started producing really nicely. The Broncos can get thrown against with or without Champ Bailey and Smith has made some great catches. Even though Delhomme is not a great start and has struggled, Smith has still been able to put up good points and will do so this week as well.

On the opposite sideline, Brandon Marshall will succeed, probably just because of the sheer volume of passes Cutler will heave at him. I don't expect Bell to do much save for keeping the defense honest and I think the Broncos will not rely on any of the collage of also rans and never was RBs they've collected. Marshall has the ability to overcome the defense and with Eddie Royal and tight end Tony Scheffler, he'll find some single coverage.

Greg Jennings, like Aaron Rodgers, puts up fantasy points even when the Packers lose. As Rodgers does well, Jennings does as well because Rodgers loves him some Jennings. He'll look at him pretty frequently and lucky for him, Jennings can catch anything thrown at him. Jennings is a reliable fantasy starter every week and again when the big fantasy names at WR get talked about, his name is not brought up often enough.

Roddy White faces a dangerous secondary in Tampa Bay who will harrass and attack both White and Matt Ryan. However, White has more than earned his auto-start in your lineup and while it's a bad matchup, he has seen those before and succeeded. Ryan struggled against this secondary in it's own house before. But he is more experiance and home, so expect a better game from him and a great game from White.

Wide Receiver
  1. Larry Fitzgerald, Cardinals vs. Vikings
  2. Steve Smith, Panthers vs. Broncos
  3. Brandon Marshall, Broncos at Panthers
  4. Greg Jennings, Packers at Jaguars
  5. Roddy White, Falcons vs. Buccaneers
  6. Dwayne Bowe, Chiefs vs. Chargers
  7. Reggie Wayne, Colts vs. Lions
  8. Anquan Boldin, Cardinals vs. Vikings
  9. Calvin Johnson, Lions at Colts
  10. Randy Moss, Patriots at Raiders
  11. Terrell Owens, Cowboys vs. Giants
  12. Andre Johnson, Texans vs. Titans
  13. DeSean Jackson, Eagles vs. Browns
  14. Wes Welker, Patriots at Raiders
  15. Derrick Mason, Ravens vs. Steelers
  16. Lee Evans, Bills at Jets
  17. Jerricho Cotchery, Jets vs. Bills
  18. Vincent Jackson, Chargers at Chiefs
  19. Isaac Bruce, 49ers at Dolphins
  20. Antonio Bryant, Buccaneers at Falcons
  21. Santana Moss, Redskins at Bengals
  22. Davone Bess, Dolphins vs. 49ers
  23. Deion Branch, Seahawks at Rams
  24. Eddie Royal, Broncos at Panthers
  25. Kevin Walter, Texans vs. Titans
  26. Donald Driver, Packers at Jaguars
  27. T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Bengals vs. Redskins
  28. Hines Ward, Steelers at Ravens
  29. Bernard Berrian, Vikings at Cardinals
  30. Marvin Harrison, Colts vs. Lions
  31. Braylon Edwards, Browns at Eagles
  32. Santonio Holmes, Steelers at Ravens
  33. Hank Baskett, Eagles vs. Browns
  34. Steve Breaston, Cardinals vs. Vikings
  35. Reggie Williams, Jaguars vs. Packers

Tuesday, December 9, 2008

Top WR Performances for Week 14

Here's a list of guys who - for the most part - are VERY UNLIKELY to repeat top 5 success. But they had big weeks nonetheless and if you faced them, they could have contributed to your downfall. It's incredibly frustrating to have a great team, only to lose on a mediocre players one week fantasy binge and purge - but that's the game we both love and loathe.

Antonio Bryant - 9/200/2 - AKA Andrew's Fantasy Death Knell Special. Bryant played out of his mind last night and will not do this again. Don't get me wrong - he will play well - but he won't sniff a day like this again this year and maybe ever. Hope you had him in - he goes back to the WR3 or so he normally tops out as. A PHENOMENAL performance regardless. Games like this is why these lists get posted on Tuesday now. If you faced him, you had a very unpleasant surprise.

Brandon Marshall - 11/91/2 - A great performance by a guy who is often sniffing the top 5 or so in fantasy leagues. Marshall came up big for Cutler multiple times and will be looked upon often to make up for yet another RB injury in the backfield. Could the Rb troubles allow secondaries to double him? Probably not as Royal, Scheffler and other players make teams pay when they do that.

Steve Smith - 9/117/1 - Here is the game we have been hoping to see more of from Steve Smith but has been missing because of the great running game. Smith blew up last night and while Bryant had a monster day, here's a guy who is more consistent and solid than Bryant has ever been. Looking at the numbers you can be blinded by Bryant's big day, but Smith did very well by his owners too.

Kevin Walter - 6/146/1 - Probably the best flex play any owner has at this point, Walter continues to add good yard totals with touchdowns. Schaub played very well (far better than I expected) in his return and Walter didn't miss a beat either.

Wes Welker - 12/134 & 1 2pt conv - Already a PPR monster, Welker had a good day even in standard scoring. A TD would have been nice, but his totals show you why he is always a play.


Best of the rest -
Roddy White - 10/164 - No TDs is a bummer but White continues to be a valid fantasy force. he should do somethign nice for Matt Ryan and Mike Turner.
Vincent Jackson - 5/148/1 - If only he could do this more consistently. Still a good WR3 or 4 most weeks.
Deion Branch - 4/88/2 - Was this because he faced his old team or is he finally healthy and ready to roll? I think somewhere in between. How much does Wallace like him is question 2.
Larry Fitzgerald - 6/73/1 - Boldin had another quiet day while Fitz got yards and TD again. Start him - always.
Calvin Johnson - 3/84/1 - I really wish he would get more than three catches, ever. Just think of what he could do if he had a team that could do that?

Friday, December 5, 2008

WR Rankings for Week 14

The 'Quan had a bad game last week. Anquan Boldin dropped a ton of balls and didn't seem himself. Won't happen again. He's still Warner's fave red zone target, still the man across the middle and will be facing a pretty bad team. The reality is worse than the stats say - this is a team that looks better against the pass than they are, since teams run on them. But Warner throws a ton and will do so even against this defense. Boldin is likely good for soem nice yards and at least a TD.

Greg Jennings doesn't get near the love on weekly lists that he should. Rodgers zooms in on him - almost to a detriment at times - and knows he can go to Jennings any time and Jennings will make the catch. It will happen a ton against the Texans this week.

Once again, we have a pair of Cards Wrs in the top 5 - Larry Fitzgerald joins his partner and where Boldin is a better bet for TDs, Fitz is a sure bet for good yards, even if he doesn't get the TDs consistently. And there is always enough targets to go around in this offense.

Roddy White had a decent outing first time the Falcons met the Saints this season and it's likely he will again. Last time we were still unsure if what we were seeing was an illusion but we know what White can do with a solid QB, which Ryan most definitely is. Expect more of the same the rest of the way and start him without worry this weekend.

Reggie Wayne
should have a good day against a Bengals D which - while improved in some games - still reverts to type more often than not. This is Wayne's team now, he's the #1 here and Manning will get him the ball a ton this Sunday. Bank on it.

Other thoughts -
Brandon Marshall
has had a bad case of 'Braylon Edwards hands' lately but should get some targets and a TD against the Chiefs even if Hillis runs all over them as he did vs the Jets..... This is the week it all comes back together for Marques Colston and I think Moore will get more attention and Colston will be open again.... Dwayne Bowe has dropped quite a bit. I was a huge believer he could overcome his struggles but it appears he still has a ways to go before he can be fully trusted week to week.....

Wide receivers

  1. Anquan Boldin, Cardinals vs. Rams
  2. Greg Jennings, Packers vs. Texans
  3. Larry Fitzgerald, Cardinals vs. Rams
  4. Roddy White, Falcons at Saints
  5. Reggie Wayne, Colts vs. Bengals
  6. Randy Moss, Patriots at Seahawks
  7. Andre Johnson, Texans at Packers
  8. Steve Smith, Panthers vs. Buccaneers
  9. Brandon Marshall, Broncos vs. Chiefs
  10. Calvin Johnson, Lions vs. Vikings
  11. Marques Colston, Saints vs. Falcons
  12. Lee Evans, Bills vs. Dolphins
  13. Kevin Walter, Texans at Packers
  14. Donald Driver, Packers vs. Texans
  15. Matt Jones, Jaguars at Bears
  16. Jerricho Cotchery, Jets at 49ers
  17. Hines Ward, Steelers vs. Cowboys
  18. Bernard Berrian, Vikings at Lions
  19. Wes Welker, Patriots at Seahawks
  20. Dwayne Bowe, Chiefs at Broncos
  21. Terrell Owens, Cowboys at Steelers
  22. Lance Moore, Saints vs. Falcons
  23. T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Bengals at Colts
  24. Laveranues Coles, Jets at 49ers
  25. Eddie Royal, Broncos vs. Chiefs
  26. Steve Breaston, Cardinals vs. Rams
  27. Santonio Holmes, Steelers vs. Cowboys
  28. Anthony Gonzalez, Colts vs. Bengals
  29. Justin Gage, Titans vs. Browns
  30. Marvin Harrison, Colts vs. Bengals
  31. Domenik Hixon, Giants vs. Eagles
  32. DeSean Jackson, Eagles at Giants
  33. Isaac Bruce, 49ers vs. Jets
  34. Antonio Bryant, Buccaneers at Panthers
  35. Santana Moss, Redskins at Ravens

Tuesday, December 2, 2008

Top Fantasy WRs of Week 13

Mark Clayton 5/164/1 - 32 pass yds, 1 pass TD - The man does it all. well not usually, but Clayton sure did as much as he could this weekend. He has had two very good games (especially considering his usual lack of production) and Flacco seems to be hitting his groove. While I cannot say he will be a lock the rest of the way, the timing is nice and he could work as a low #3 or good #4 from, here on out.

Bernard Berrian 4/122/1 - To say Berrian has been streaky this year would be an understatement. Was this a perfect storm - old team, indoors, decent Frerotte game? Maybe but Berrian can give you these games. With more consistency he could be a very good #2 with 1 upside. But as it is he's a marginal 2, safer 3 and some weeks could miss even that. Here's hoping he can be consistent the next three weeks.

Greg Jennings 8/91/1 - 1 2pt conversion - Rodgers locks on Jennings a little too much, btu Jennings is a bonafide stud and still one that casual fantasy owners have underestimated a ton. Not you guys though. Jennings will continue to be a decent #1/2 for you most weeks although as it gets colder in Green Bay, the pass game will suffer.

Larry Fitzgerald 5/65/2 - Who knew that of the Dynamic Duo, Fitz would get the pair of TDs this week? Always a shot at being in the top 5 WRs, Fitz is a must start no matter what.

Matt Jones 8/104 - The fact that six players were suspended for viloating the steroid policy and Dr. Rockso here pleaded out for felony possession of cocaine but is still playing - I don't get it. But as always, if he's playing, you play him. Has had a couple of light weeks, but is still a start - even as the offense looked like garbage at times last night, Garrard loves him some Jones. As should his fantasy owners. Maybe Garrard is one of those guys too.

Derrick Mason 6/91/1 - Wait? Two Ravens on this list? What? Flacco must have had the game of the century. Don't expect this again.

Terrell Owens 5/98/1 - TO is off his game again. Not even 100 yards. I mean, if it ain't 200+ and multiple TDs, something is wrong right? (for those who are easily confused, that would be sarcasm)

Andre Johnson 7/75/1 - Not quite what I expected but hey, when Johnson gets the TD, it's gravy. Now if he can keep doing it. Still a great start in any given week, TD or no.

Roddy White 6/112 - Great game by Turner and being banged up limited White this week. If you call 112 yards 'off'.

Marques Colston 6/106 - HEY - DREW BREES - LOOK OVER HERE! I AM STILL PLAYING! I CAN CATCH! PLEASE FOR THE LOVE OF MY FANTASY OWNERS THROW ME THE BALL!

*sob*

Let's hope this is the start of a trend for Colston's owners.

RBS a little later.

Friday, November 28, 2008

WR Rankings for Week 13

Like I said in the Qb list, normally I cover the Thursday games on Thursday in the breakdowns. For what it's worth, I had Boldin as a top 5 start, along with TO, Fitz was about 7 on the list and Megatron was at 9. So some hits, some misses. DeSean Jackson was my number 20, and he continues to impress me. And the Iggles do love him so.

Boldin, by the way, looked as awful as I have ever seen anyone. I think Braylon Edwards got into the lockeroom and put on Boldin's uni. Only way I can explain the drops.

I love Roddy White against a streaky secondary in a defense who cannot get pressure on the QB, and Andre Johnson against the shaky Jags D. His partner in crime is flirting with top 10 status and will probably get the TD Johnson rarely gets. I like Evans and Moss both equally, though inclement weather looms and could hurt Evans more than Moss.

I pushed the Jets WRs way back to the late teens - one of them will have a better game than that but you never know which one. Note Marques Colston has slipped into the 20's and he may not even be that good a start. Brees has begun to love Moore and a lot of the targets are going there and Moore now resides at Colston's former spot, at 13.

Wide receivers
  1. Roddy White, Falcons at Chargers
  2. Andre Johnson, Texans vs. Jaguars
  3. Reggie Wayne, Colts at Browns
  4. Steve Smith, Panthers at Packers
  5. Randy Moss, Patriots vs. Steelers
  6. Greg Jennings, Packers vs. Panthers
  7. Dwayne Bowe, Chiefs at Raiders
  8. Brandon Marshall, Broncos at Jets
  9. Lee Evans, Bills vs. 49ers
  10. Santana Moss, Redskins vs. Giants
  11. Hines Ward, Steelers at Patriots
  12. Kevin Walter, Texans vs. Jaguars
  13. Lance Moore, Saints at Buccaneers
  14. Marvin Harrison, Colts at Browns
  15. Bernard Berrian, Vikings vs. Bears
  16. Chris Chambers, Chargers vs. Falcon
  17. Laveranues Coles, Jets vs. Broncos
  18. Jerricho Cotchery, Jets vs. Broncos
  19. Vincent Jackson, Chargers vs. Falcons
  20. Derrick Mason, Ravens at Bengals
  21. Wes Welker, Patriots vs. Steelers
  22. Santonio Holmes, Steelers at Patriots
  23. Antonio Bryant, Buccaneers vs. Saints
  24. Marques Colston, Saints at Buccaneers
  25. T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Bengals vs. Ravens
  26. Braylon Edwards, Browns vs. Colts
  27. Anthony Gonzalez, Colts at Browns
  28. Donald Driver, Packers vs. Panthers
  29. Michael Jenkins, Falcons at Chargers
  30. Ted Ginn Jr., Dolphins at Rams
  31. Muhsin Muhammad, Panthers at Packers
  32. Devery Henderson, Saints at Buccaneers
  33. Donnie Avery, Rams vs. Dolphins
  34. Isaac Bruce, 49ers at Bills
  35. Plaxico Burress, Giants vs Redskins

Monday, November 24, 2008

Top WR Performances for Week 12

Randy Moss 8/125/3 - Moss had one of his good games in this Jeckyl and Hyde season, helping the Pats carry past the surging Dolphins in a key matchup. When Cassel needed him Randy was there. He usually is, Cassel just doesn't always see him.

Terrell Owens 7/213/1 - HERE HE IS! That's what we've waited for. Owens had a monster day and while the quality of the opponent won't always be this low, he should stay a factor from here on out.

Isaac Bruce 8/125/1 - I love Bruce and the fact that he is still successful at his age is awesome but this is an aberration and while he may stay a decent WR3/4 or flex on occasion, you cannot trust you will see these numbers the rest of the season.

Steve Smith (CAR) 8/168 - Smith piled up the yards but couldn't find the end zone -story of his year, right? Smith is a very good WR but with just 4 TDs on the year, he still makes it hard on his owners in non-PPR play.

Anquan Boldin 11/87/1 - Boldin had a pretty godo day considering the Giants played well defensively. The Cards are for real on both sides of the ball. Also while there are plenty of targets to go to all three Wrs (Boldin, Fitz and Breaston) Boldin is the red zone guy.

Andre Johnson 10/116 - Like Steve Smith, keeps putting up good yards but cannto find the end zone. So like Steve Smith, he's somewhat of a dissappointment to many owners. Could be worse - could be like Owen Daniels owners for whom Rosenfels has been a year killer.

Wes Welker 8/120 - Welker is always a good play, especially in a PPR league, though this week he had a ton of yards to go with the catches. Always a solid WR.

Kevin Walter 7/93/1 - If you want to know where Andre Johnson's TDs go, here is one spot. Walter has had a fantastic season and has been nails as a WR3/4 which is all you ever wanted. He's been putting up points that far outwiegh his draft slot.

Laveraneus Coles 7/88/1 - You never know who The Brett will throw too which has made the Jets offense tough to figure out WR wise. Coles this week, Cotchery next, then Keller for two..... Suffice to say, I expect very few repeats for Coles, and you'll never know when anyway.

Anthony Gonzalez 6/95/1 - Gonzalez has had a huge step back compared to last year though some of that is due to the immense struggles of the rest fo the team. He's prone to games much worse than this and is a shaky start though down the road (i.e. next season) I think he will begin to emerge as a nice fantasy option.

Tuesday, November 11, 2008

Top Fantasy WRs of Week 10

Anquan Boldin - 7 catches, 92 Rec Yds, 19 Rushing Yards, 2 TDs - Boldin makes a last minute surge onto the list and that's not a shock. Certainly, you can start him without worry every week. Boldin is just nasty, just incredibly tough and a guy who Warner looks for in the red zone often.

Eddie Royal - 6 catches, 164 Rec Yds, 1 TDs - Royal had an immensely good Thursday night, and you can imagine he may have great value going forward since the running game in Denver is bad enough that Tatum Bell's phone rang. When Marshall is struggling, Royal tags in and eventually it loosens up for Marshall because Royal will hurt teams. He's a great flex and a decent 3 - maybe even 2 - depending on your league.

Reggie Wayne - 6 catches, 114 Rec Yds, 1 TDs - I thought Wayne would not look too good this weekend. And there were times he didn't. But that didn't stop him from having a good day, especially when many other studs went all average on us. Wayne is still having a shaky season, but I think he reminded us who Manning's favorite target is.

Brandon Marshall - 6 catches, 89 Rec Yds, 1 TDs - The other half of the great Denver tandem, Marshall took a while to get going but put up some decent numbers when he did. He'll do pretty well as long as the opposition has to cover Royal, Stokely and Scheffler as well. And as long as Cutler has to throw because the run game is iffy....

Kevin Walter - 4 catches,85 Rec Yds, 1 TDs - Andre Johnson was locked down this weekend, but Walter played well as he has for a long time now. Walter has been getting a lot of the TDs Johnson isn't getting and I am beginning to wonder if that changes any time soon. It's not a ton of catches and his production is a little streaky but as a WR 4 he is great - and even more worthwhile if you have return yards as well.

Best of the rest -
Mark Bradley - 9 catches, 81 Rec Yds, 1 TDs - You have to start looking at Bradley hard now that Thigpen is throwing effectively. I wouldn't want to count on him right now but Thigpen is targeting him frequently (this weekend 14 times) and clearly has an eye for him. Bowe and Gonzo are the steady plays here - Bradley is the bench. But grab him now in case he joins the other two down the stretch.

Marques Colston - 7 catches, 140 Rec Yds - Anyone listen to the Beat Writer in Nawlins and bench him? I hope not. I think Brees - even in a loss - will go to the guy he knows will make big plays in his offense. The TDs will be coming shortly as Colston is just warming up.

Malcom Floyd - 4 catches, 76 Rec Yds 1 TDs - Didn't have a ton of targets but caught them all. A little undertargeted and streaky but scored in 3 of the 4 games he has been used in this year. On the watchlist? I think so.

DeSean Jackson - 4 catches, 61 Rec Yds, 24 Rushing Yards, 1 Rushing TDs - Clearly we have little to worry about in terms of the Eagles not involving Jackson because of the return of Curtis. They will get him touches - even on the ground.

RBs coming after I catch up on Email....

Tuesday, November 4, 2008

Top WR Performances for Week 9

Back from the polls - and the weather turned nice but it didn't matter as I waited only about a 1/2 hour. With the exception of parking woes, completely painless!

Here's your WR studs for the week (there is a theme here).....

Derrick Mason 9 catches, 136 yds,1TD - ..... the hell? Yup, Mason had his one good game of the year. Flacco has killed whatever value he and Mark Clayton had to begin the year. Could Flacco be ramping up? I don't think so and even if he was, you cannot depend upon Mason for more than a #3 or 4 WR.

Donald Driver 7 catches, 136 yds, 1TD - It was bound to happen - Driver had a good game. With the emergence of Jennings and the other young wide receivers, Driver has finally faded almost into the background. Driver can still play and proved he needs to be accounted for by defenses, but it is unlikely he will be a consistent factor in fantasy circles.

Antonio Bryant 8 catches, 115 yds, 1TD - Bryant has been getting good targets from both Garcia and Griese before him. Bryant seems to finally be playing fairly well though somewhat inconsitently. He will have some good games, but likely not repeat a game like this often if at all. Again, another guy better off as a 3 or 4 for you.

Greg Camarillo 11 catches, 111 yds - Camarillo has been a consistent 4-8 points (depending on PPR or not) for most of the season, though when Tedd Ginn Jr exploded in week 8, people sensed doom. Not so fast as Camarillo had another good game - in fact better than average. Camarillo is a pretty good source of points each week as Pennington looks for him often. He'll be a productive 3rd or 4th WR for you.

Koren Robinson 4 catches, 101yds, 1TD - Most of this came on one play. But as banged up as the WR core in Seattle is, you have to watch what folks are doing. Robinson did a ton with his few catches and it would be a nice story if he had a career renaissance but this offense is still a mess and has a ton of question marks. A guy to keep on your bench in case, but if Hasselback returns in Week 11 as suggested, he may not see many targets and could fade again.

Others on the bubble --
Calvin Johnson - 8/88/1 - Orlovsky got the ball to CJ a bunch AND in the redzone. With him now out, we start again guessing if Stanton, Culpepper or some dude from the stands will get him the rock.

Anthony Gonzalez 4/55/2 - The Colts need Ganzalez to step up like he did last season. Wayne is banged up, Harrison is on his last legs and the rest fo the offense has issues. Watch and see if he can get back to a consistent play.

Bernard Berrian 2/104/1
- One of the most consistent WRs right now, Berrian has scored a TD in four straight games and been over 100 yds in three of those as well.

Anquan Boldin 6/93/1 - Two games. Two great performances. Boldin is filthy - this guy starts every week.

Chad Johnson/OchoCinco/this name for sale - 5/37/2 - Is The Chad waking up? He's starting to catch balls and he might be a buy low IF you are ok with him coughing up the occasional hairball.

RBs soon enough......

Tuesday, October 28, 2008

Top WR Performances for Week 8

Roddy White - 8 catches, 113 yards, 2 TDs - I think you can say Matt Ryan has arrived and with him, Roddy White. White is proving that he has the ability to get separation and can make the big catches when he needs to. An excellent play week to week.

Santana Moss - 9 catches, 140 yards, 1 TDs - An outstanding day, as I expected. Moss is looking like he did a few years ago, when he was dynamic and consistent. Campbell clearly favors him and he continues to put on a show near every week.

Donnie Avery - 6 catches, 162 yards, 1 TDs - Donnie WHO? Avery far exceeded expectations and given the last two weeks, might he be supplanting Tory Holt? Avery has definitely caught my attention and is looking more and more like the third big WR surprise amongst a rookie class we all thought was meh at best.

Steve Smith - 5 catches, 111 yards, 2 TDs - I expected Smith to mount up and regulate this week, and he did. Delhomme knows who to go to when he needs things done and it was only a matter of time before 1) the run game faltered and they had to throw and 2) Smith remembered where the end zone was.

Anquan Boldin - 9 catches, 93 yards, 2 TDs - Not a bad return, huh? Both Fitz and Breaston had more yards but when it counted, there was Boldin. To quote the graphic novel Dark Knight Returns, the man's balls nasty Don. Boldin will continue to be a good start even on one leg. Boldin did not shy from contact nor did he suddenly get alligator arms, worrying about who might hit him. Great game for a man just back from injury.

Other notables - Dr. Rockso er, Matt Jones played like a man about to go to jail (8 catches, 117 yards and a TD) and as long as the NFL Feds can't catch him, will continue his crime spree against Cinci in week 9... Andre Johnson (11 catches, 143 yards) is still looking for the end zone on a consistent basis, but is good to start regardless of matchup and in fact will probably see the endzone with Minny shutting Slaton and whatever injured castoff he gets paired with this week..... It pains me to admit it but Tedd Ginn Jr (7 catches, 175 yards) is beginning to look consistent and solid at the Wr position. I think I threw up in my mouth a bit...... OK, that might have been harsher than I needed it to be...... Usually Kevin Walter (5 catches, 70 yards, 2 TDs) is a better play in return-yardage leagues but he put up some fine points for his owners this weekend against a struggling Bengals team.... Jerricho Cotchery (9 catches, 102 yards) was a safety blanket for Favre today and it shows you how much the two jell. Too bad they should have been running the ball all game. I suspect Schottenheimer and Mangini got a little too cute. Critical game for the Jets vs the Bills this week - I think Cotchery will be very involved if his shoulder holds up......

RBs a little later.

Monday, October 13, 2008

Top WRs for Week 6

Here's the WR list for this week - sorry it took so long to get out. Family, what can ya do? But at least I got to add in Braylon Edwards - he hasn't had a lot of stuff to celebrate and I know he will sleep better seeing his name here. Or maybe not, but I feel better..... :)

Andre Johnson - 178 yds combined, 1 TD, 10 catches, 1 fumble - A companion break-out game to last week's against the colts, Johnson is feeding off Matt Schaub's resurgence as aviable fantasy QB. It's been a shaky year so far but the next two matchups (against Detroit and Cinci) look good. Detroit shit Peterson down and Berrian (see below) blew up in their faces. Johnson should do the same if not better.



Braylon Edwards - 154 yds combined, 1 TD, 1 2pt conv, 5 catches - The good thing about doing this so late Monday night (unless you count the fact that my brain thinks it's 11:17pm and the clock says 2:17am) is I get to sneak in Edwards who finally held on to the ball for a game more in line with what he have hoped for all season long. I am interested to see what his targets to catches percentage is but except for a catch that went through his hands and off his helmet (drops stil lplagued Anderson - his receivers all did it) he looked focused and good. Skins, Jags and Ravens are much tougher foes so we'll see if he can still continue his streak of two good games.



Roddy White - 112 yds combined, 1 TD, 9 catches - Been a long time coming but White finally has a good QB and is making his mark as a top fantasy WR. Three very good games this season, two fair ones and donuts is a nice streak for White. In some leagues this guy is a top five WR - in just about every league he's got to be in the top ten. As long as Ryan continues to play at a good clip, White will be a fair source of fantasy income for owners.



Reggie Wayne - 118 yds combined, 1 TD, 8 catches - Wayne got plenty of points, even though Marvin Harrison got two TDs. Wayne looked good as the Colts woke up and spanked the Ravens senseless and he will be a top option from here on out. If you were able to prey upon a worried Wayne owner - or if you are one - you will probably have nothing to worry about going forward. Even when Manning stunk, Wayne was still a top option most weeks. Guess what? Manning looks like he's back.



Bernard Berrian - 134 yds combined, 1 TD, 5 catches - Is Berrian the real deal? Can he stay healthy? Will Frerrotte be able to find him and reach him regularly? What the hell is up with Peterson? Well, if the answer to the first three ends up beaing yes, the fourth answer will be 'he's about to bounce back'. I still say Peterson could be one of the - if not THE - top fantasy back going forward but Berrian is a huge factor in that. Berrian looked good on Sunday, got the seperation he hasn't been able to get so far and made some big catches. He wasn't perfect but if Frerrotte keeps hitting him, Ds will have to stop selling out to stop Peterson and both Berrian and AP will benefit. I like Berrian and I think he will be a good WR2 most weeks but I need a couple more consistent games (injury-free I might add) before I crown him a consistent play.



Just missed - Vincent Jackson (5-134-1) who will be better than good until Chambers is back, Steve Breaston (8-102-1) who may have had his swan song as Boldin may be back, the aforementioned Marvin Harrison (3-83-2) whose numbers look less impressive without those TDs, Steve Smith (6-112) who I am still waiting to pop and Greg Jennings (5-84-1) who looked pretty good even without big numbers and will have more big games than not.



That's it for Monday - see ya'll on the Stampede tomorrow at 9am PST/noon EST.

Monday, October 6, 2008

Top Fantasy WRs of Week 5

Andre Johnson finally had a fully stud game as did Housh and Moss. But the other two were a bit of a surprise although White's ascendancy onto this list (though inconsistent) proves what he was lacking all along was a decent quarterback. As Ryan gets better, White will put up consistently good numbers. And the most impressive thing about Hixon's performance was that he didn't have a full game to compile his stats in, leaving early with a concussion as a precaution.

All in all it wasn't a stellar day for WRs, with only six receivers topping 100 yards, though four who didn't were the only WRs with 2 touchdown games. Those guys were Isaac Bruce, Larry Fitzgerald (flirting with the top five list), Housh (on the list) and Sinorice Moss (what?).

  1. Andre Johnson - 9 receptions, 131 yards, 1 TD
  2. Roddy White - 8 receptions, 132 yds, 1 TD
  3. TJ Houshmandzedah - 7 receptions, 85 yards, 2 TDs
  4. Randy Moss - 5 receptions, 113 yards, 1 TD
  5. Domenik Hixon - 4 receptions, 117 yards, 1 TD
If I was a betting man - and I am it turns out - I think Housh might be back and you will see Johnson many times on this list the rest of the way.

RBs shortly.

Tuesday, August 5, 2008

Favre Leaves Camp and other tidbits

Continuing our last story on this, Brett Favre has now left Packers camp and will be meeting - along with his family - with GM Ted Thompson later. Some earlier reports via The Sports Network have pegged him as once again asking for his outright release, something that likely won't happen and would - as I have said - would be akin to assisted career suicide for Thompson. Adam Shefter over at NFLN reported yesterday that the Bucs were still talking with the Packers about a possible trade, so perhaps the meeting will involve something along those lines. Shefter feels that the Bucs trade or retirement are the only choices. As rumors have said the discussions yesterday with Favre and McCarthy centered on team unity and avoiding an ugly lockerroom situation, he may be right.

I say Favre should take the trade, if he really wants to play. I also think the Packers should try to make a deal as best they can and be flexible in what they want for Favre so he has a selection of choices.

The sad thing is, something tells me that this brouhaha has probably so sapped Favre of energy and desire that he migth just walk away. And as much as I think a lot of his actions here in this have been badly executed and thought out, I think that would be too bad. Favre wants to play - somehow that shouldn't be THIS hard to make happen.

In other news --
Jacksonville Jaguars
The wide receiver situation in Jacksonville is no clearer despite the current depth chart. With Porter and Williams out, Troy Williamson and Dennis Northcutt are the first team, while Mike Walker and Matt Jones are second team. I still have hopes for Walker, though not as high - being on Jones' squad isn't a ringing endorsement. However, HC Jack Del Rio has spoken well of Jones' effort in camp. So you never know.

I've said this before but this is like the Pats prior to last year, only with less yards. It's going to be hard to know who will get yards consistently and while Garrard will be an effective starter (though not a dynamic one) for fantasy teams, no receiver here will be good enough, often enough to be better than a #3, at best. But the offense overall should be pretty effective, regardless of who catches the ball when.

New Orleans Saints
Reggie Bush is going to get some opportunity to return punts again, according to the New Orleans Times-Picayune . Still, he won't do it that often, though he might make for a few really impressive run backs. Meanwhile, Pierre Thomas is "competing for a lot of touches" according to Head Coach Sean Payton, via the Baton Rouge Advocate . Thomas is a guy I have been touting all off season and with Deuce returning from another knee injury and Thomas impressing last season, expect the guy to get a good amount of touches.

More from the article:
"He has good vision and good balance," Payton said. "He’s a guy that has proven that you can hand him the ball more than 15 or 20 times in a game and he can carry the load."
That's a good sign if you happened to have snagged him when I told you to for your Dynasty Teams. I think he will compliment Bush very well and he certainly looks to take over for McAllister, who is nearing the end of being a useful full time back.

New York Giants
I don't normally want to call out other Fantasy Guys, especially those I don't know. And in all fairness I can't recall who said it. But I did a little reading in Alaska and out of curiosity, I read some Fantasy Football magazines. I don't do magazines. At the Journal last year, we did an online one that updated weekly. I read Footballguys, in part because I know so many people involved and I like what they do. I read Pro Football Weekly's for the excellent team breakdowns. This year, I picked up ESPN's as well.

I won't critique it much here, but will point out once again my frustration with some of the content there. So late in their mock draft (which was allegedly done in 45 minutes - thanks guys, good job being thorough - and with little explanation of any picks), in the final round in fact, one guy picks up Mario Manningham. He touts the pick, how clever he is. Manningham is great!

Manningham is also the only rookie WR taken. You know, over James Hardy, Devin Thomas, Limas Sweed - or what I like to call 'Guys who can contribute maybe this year'. Manningham - behind the likes of Plaxico Burress, Amani Toomer and Steve Smith.

The same Manningham who today, according to the New York Post , has bleeding in his strained quad. Thats' bad and it could put him on the PUP, if not IR if it's bad enough.

Which just goes to show you that you ALWAYS need to use your own judgement and use the mags and everyone's opinions online and everywhere else to help form your own. Anyone reading this column is unlikely to have made that pick - because you probably know the upside of the other rookies and you pay attention. It ain't that hard.

But I look back at that mock and shake my head even harder at the $7 or whatever that I spent. Thank God I get to write it off next year.

More later....

Friday, July 11, 2008

Non-Favre news (and some Favre news)

I think I've vented my spleen here and on The Audible enough to keep the Favre stuff brief and move on.

So here is the Thundering Blurb Favre Take for the Day (patent pending)

He's NOT getting an unconditional release. Not a chance. I posted in the Footballguys.com Shark Pool that the only thing worse (PR-wise) that the Packers could do in this situation is to allow him to go within the division. To not only allow him to play elsewhere, but see him TWICE next season. Heck no.

He'll be activated, he'll be traded. I am leaning towards Baltimore as it's out of the division and conference, but Tampa makes sense too. Would love to see him as a Jet, but that's not likely.

But no way in Football Hell he is being released to go where he pleases. If GB does that, then GM Ted Thompson is insane.

/Favre rant

FORMER BRONCOS RB TRAVIS HENRY REPORTEDLY TESTED POSITIVE FOR DRUG USE
Well, now we know why he was released. According to a report by the Denver Sports Insider (producer/reporter Josina Anderson from Fox31) Henry tested positive again for the dope just prior to his release from the Broncos. Shanny said 'lack of committment' in terms of the why when Henry was let go - but I disagree. Sounds like TOO MUCH committment to me. It's a real shame, frankly, as Henry seems to have tremendous talent but can't keep his head straight.

Starts to make you worry a little when Shanny is now defending Brandon Marshall, huh? Hopefully BMarshall can get HIS head on straight before he gets further into trouble.

Speaking of Drugs -

MATT JONES BUSTED FOR COCAINE POSSESSION
I won't be shocked if Jones - who insiders have said already was on the bubble - is released by the end of the weekend. He was already a bust as a wide reciever, wasn't playing consistently well and was just taking up space in Jacksonville. But according to the Orlando Sentinel now he compounded it by being pulled over while in possession of cocaine which, by the way, he reportedly tried to hide from the cops IN HIS HANDS. Nice.

KEVIN JONES DEPORTED TO TAMPA BAY - SAYS HE'S NOT FROM THERE
Apologies for the old Johnny Dangerously quote. But while Kevin Jones was reported to have a visit scheduled with the Tampa Bay Bucs earlier this week, Jones has now come out and said despite what was posted on the ESPN Blog Hashmarks that no, he is not going to Tampa yet. He says in an article with the Tampa Tribune that they haven't called him, though he is still interested in playing there.

Remember a week or so ago how I said it was interesting that reports were focused on how much Jones wanted to play in Tampa but how telling it might be that Tampa wasn't commenting? I'm not saying he won't go to Tampa (he went to Pittsburgh earlier this week) but the fact that they haven't responded yet. Tough market for the Free Agent running backs this off-season, no? Jones will find a home - I'm just dubious it will be Tampa.

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Finally, I wanted to send you guys over to an article my fellow Draftnick and friend Josh Buchanan wrote - an interview with Ramses Barden, WR from Cal Poly. It's posted on NFLDraftbible.com and they do some excellent work there. They are very high on Barden, so take a look. I'll have my own interview with him in another week or so, but Josh is a great source. He knows his stuff. Check it out.

More later or tomorrow.

Quick warning - I will be traveling to Alaska on Monday - either I will have some guest posting or thes posts will be few and far between next week. But I will be back in full force on the 22nd and it'll be postapalooza from there on out including some stuff from Cowboys Camp in Oxnard, California, which I will be covering for Denver radio station FM 104.3 The Fan. Or at least that's my story and I am sticking to it.