Monday, August 25, 2008

The Lost blog

Unfortunately I ain't talking about the TV show. Blogger or my computer or something just wiped out the post I made and I can tell you - it was the greatest thing ever written.

But here are the quick hits on it:

Warner vs Leinart
I wouldn't touch this with a ten foot pole. Yes, Matty L looked BAD this weekend. Yes, Warner can throw deep TDs. He also threw 17 INTs last year. Leinart didn't throw an INT until this weekend and Warner hasn't been Joe Montana in play so far. Honestly, Warner might be better from a fantasy perspective but he's also going top make you pay if you get dinged for INTs.

And as HC Whisenhunt took issue with ESPN's Chris Mortenson's assumption Warner will be the starter, I'm wary of getting stuck with the wrong guy post-draft.

Chad Johnson
I love Chad - I mean as a journalist how could you not?' 'I need surgery, but I won't get it because I really don't need it?' It's not an exact quote but darn close. What's not to love about Ocho Cinco?

Well, the fact that the shoulder could pop out again is a concern. That happens and if things tear too hard - well, bye for the season. The more you dislocate the easier it is to do and the more damage you do. If he can make it through the season he's going to have tremendous value - I snagged him as a 3rd WR in a 12 team experts league - round 4. The key is - and this is critical - you have to cover your rear and make sure the WRs behind him are stable.

So don't worry abouttaking him after you have at least your stud WR - if he drops like he has and you cover yourself, you can reap the benefits when he plays and protect yourself in case he can't.

I think Johnson wants to play, probably can play but is likely to get hit hard and could miss games here and there. So no #1 WR spot for him, but plenty of value anyway.

Preseason = Injury-palooza
Merriman, Osi Umenyiora, Jason Taylor, Chad Johnson - the list goes on. Every year we hear about the injuries, every year someone critical goes down and every season a Fantasy Team gets nailed.

Now, this is reason #1 why you wait as long as you can for drafting a redraft league - just too much goes on. If you grabbed the Chargers or Giants D early, you may have a real issue. Merriman's impact on that D is huge. Umenyiora's injury has the Giants scrambling, moving players around and are calling Strahan. But of course, they draft to be deep - rotating lineman and linebackers in and out throughout the game. So it might only make them stumble.

Will we see a decrease in the amount of games? I can't say - there's a lot of cash wrapped up in the preseason.

We'll have an early post tomorrow (shooting for 6:30 amPST/9am EST) and will be back on track all week so you're ready to go Week 1.

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